StatSheet Projects California as NCAA Tournament Nine Seed: 02/12/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 12th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting California to be a nine seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Bears are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, but they won't need to win their conference tournament as they're unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #40 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 20-6 overall record and a 10-3 record in the Pac 12.

Over the last four games, California was steady with wins against UCLA, USC, and Arizona State but also dropped one against RPI #73 Arizona.

California has a 7-4 record against the RPI Top 100 but an 0-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and AP Top 25. While the Golden Bears have no quality wins, they're hampered by two bad losses including RPI #149 Washington State and RPI #137 Oregon State.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Ole Miss (15-9, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #53), Arkansas (17-8, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #63), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), and Texas (16-9, 6-6 Big 12, StatRank #48).

The first four teams out are Colorado (17-8, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #66), Oregon (18-7, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #68), and St. Joseph's (PA) (16-10, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #49).

The next four out are Brigham Young (21-6, 9-3 West Coast, StatRank #49), Iona (19-6, 11-3 MAAC, StatRank #54), South Florida (15-10, 8-4 Big East, StatRank #60), and Xavier (16-9, 7-4 A-10, StatRank #56).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Florida
#4Florida State
#5Indiana
#6Louisville
#7Connecticut
#8Gonzaga
#9Alabama
#10Iowa State
#11Memphis
#12Colorado State
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Duke
#3Georgetown
#4Michigan
#5San Diego State
#6Mississippi State
#7Creighton
#8Northwestern
#9California
#10Miami (FL)
#11New Mexico
#12Kansas State
#13Ole Miss
#14Long Beach State
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Marquette
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Murray State
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Harvard
#10Notre Dame
#11NC State
#12MTSU
#13Oral Roberts
#14Nevada
#15Loyola (MD)
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Michigan State
#4Southern Miss
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Wichita State
#8Vanderbilt
#9Illinois
#10Saint Louis
#11West Virginia
#12Texas
#13Purdue
#14VCU
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
SEC7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Pac 12 Standings

OverallConf
1 Washington 24-11 14-4
2 Oregon 24-10 13-5
 2California 24-10 13-5
4 Arizona 23-12 12-6
5 Colorado 24-12 11-7
5 UCLA 19-14 11-7
7 Stanford 26-11 10-8
8 Oregon State 21-15 7-11
8 WSU 19-18 7-11
10 Arizona State 10-21 6-12
11 Utah 6-25 3-15
12 USC 6-26 1-17
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#15 Bak Bak Jr F 6-9 225
#14 C. Behrens Fr F 6-8 190
#13 Raffi Chalian Fr G 5-11 165
#1 Justin Cobbs So G 6-2 195
#23 Allen Crabbe So G 6-6 205
#20 Rob Filley Fr G 6-4 195
#2 Jorge Gutierrez Sr G 6-3 195
#22 Harper Kamp Sr F 6-8 245
#45 David Kravish Fr F 6-9 210
#24 Ricky Kreklow So G 6-6 220
#31 Emerson Murray So G 6-3 195
#21 Jeff Powers So G 6-7 190
#10 Alex Rossi Fr G 6-6 200
#12 Brandon Smith Jr G 5-11 185
#3 Richard Solomon So F 6-10 220
#34 Robert Thurman Jr F 6-10 250